Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.269993e-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.613531e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.071124e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.626705e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.253230e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.971879e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000027
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.726037e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000020 0.000032
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.433560e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000021 0.000036
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.219728e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000041
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.025233e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000024 0.000047
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.886352e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000054
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.812236e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000030 0.000065
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.663647e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000016 0.000032 0.000074
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.548793e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000035 0.000085
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.439393e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000037 0.000097
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.343631e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000040 0.000111
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.258205e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000043 0.000127
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.193675e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000047 0.000148
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.133769e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000051 0.000173
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.049383e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000053 0.000188
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 9.872064e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000056 0.000211
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 9.269209e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000059 0.000234
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.844889e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000008 0.000021 0.000063 0.000270